Arboriculture & Urban Forestry 46(3): May 2020 169 Table 3. Observed and expected values (tons) for the ARIMA (p,d,q) models for the year 2014 (January to December) for urban pruning waste in João Pessoa. Period Jan-14 Feb-14 Mar-14 Apr-14 May-14 Jun-14 Jul-14 Aug-14 Sep-14 Oct-14 Nov-14 Dec-14 MQPE Error (%) Observation 223,749 260,281 214,331 248,316 279,881 327,756 255,385 277,618 248,623 238,390 257,962 170,095 ARIMA (5,1,0) 237,694 240,409 250,639 243,005 241,643 248,530 243,984 242,505 246,350 244,629 242,983 245,531 4.62 -2.5 ARIMA (1,1,2) 236,435 242,444 244,362 244,967 245,158 245,217 245,236 245,241 245,244 245,244 245,244 245,244 4.36 -2.4 ARIMA (0,1,3) 236,281 241,370 245,715 245,715 245,715 245,715 245,715 245,715 245,715 245,715 245,715 245,715 3.81 -2.25 ARIMA (0,1,4) 236,480 242,222 246,776 246,212 246,212 246,212 246,212 246,212 246,212 246,212 246,212 246,212 3.1 -2.03 Figure 4. ARIMA (0,1,4) model residuals for Ln(MPA-JP). ©2020 International Society of Arboriculture
May 2020
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